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All transfers
CreditEnergy§48§45§45Y§48E

Clean energy production and investment credits

Credits for generating low-emission electricity or investing in the plant that does.

Estimated annual cost
$26.7B
$26,700,000,000 · FY2025
0.38% of all federal spending in FY2025Total outlays $7.0T · Treasury, Monthly Treasury Statement, receipts, outlays and deficit/surplus
8 months ago

Sum of JCT energy-credit lines in force for FY2025: the legacy energy credit ($22.5B) and credits for electricity production from renewable resources ($4.2B). The technology-neutral §45Y and §48E credits that replace them are near zero in FY2025 and ramp from 2026, so this figure understates the programme’s later cost.

By total cost
#21
Most cost, least good
#19
Most good, least cost
#18
Benefit concentration
Spread outConcentrated
68/ 100, uneven

Claimed by project developers and manufacturers at utility scale. Transferability created a secondary market that widens the set of entities monetising the credits, but the underlying claim remains concentrated among large developers.

Treasury; CBO revised baselines unverified

Structural reading

Included to hold the bipartisan line, and it earns the place on the merits. Whatever one concludes about the policy objective, the structure is textbook: uncapped credits with no appropriation ceiling, value scaling with project size, bonus rates conditioned on sourcing decisions that specific manufacturers lobbied to define, and a transferability provision that created an entirely new intermediated market in tax credits. Cost estimates have been revised upward substantially since enactment because uptake, not Congress, sets the total. The same analytical lens applied to §199A above applies here without modification, which is the test of whether the lens is doing real work.

Who gets it

The channels the benefit actually flows through, described by asset position, entity form and form of return. Never by named individuals.

$18.2B68%
to a narrow class
$8.5B32%
spread broadly

Cost split by the concentration score. That score is a judgement rather than a published figure, so treat this as the scale of the split, not an audited allocation.

  • Utility-scale project developers

    Credit value scales with installed capacity or output, concentrating benefit among entities able to finance large projects.

  • Purchasers of transferred credits

    Transferability, new in 2022, lets developers sell credits for cash to unrelated taxpayers, creating an intermediated market with its own arrangers and fees.

  • Domestic content and component manufacturers

    Bonus rates conditioned on domestic sourcing direct additional benefit to specific manufacturing footprints.

Who pays

General taxpayers. Because the credits are uncapped and demand-driven, the eventual cost is set by uptake rather than by an appropriation.

Sector lobbying, all issues combined
$134M2024Recentunverified

Sector aggregate spanning both incumbent and renewable energy interests.

This transfer follows a general pattern, asymmetric organisation, sustained expert attention, and scheduled expiry dates.

How rent-seeking works →

Legislative history and accountability

Enacting statutes, major amendments, recorded votes with party breakdown, and live reform proposals.

Enabling legislation

  • Energy Policy Act of 1992, production tax creditP.L. 102-486Oct 24, 1992

    Created the original production tax credit for renewable generation, subsequently extended on a short-term basis more than a dozen times.

    Bipartisan

    Passed with broad support from both parties. No separate roll call on this provision is recorded here.

Major amendment

Reform proposal

  • Proposals to repeal, cap or accelerate the phase-out of the creditslive

    Repeal and phase-out proposals have been introduced in successive Congresses, with the uncapped structure and revised cost estimates as the stated basis.

Lobbying around this provision

$134Mreported by the energy and utilities sector in 2024

This is not campaign money, and it is not attributable to the votes above. Lobbying disclosures record what organisations spent engaging policymakers across an entire issue area over a quarter. They are not broken out by party, by member, or by bill, and no part of this figure can be traced to any vote on this page. It is shown as an indicator of how organised the interest around this provision is, nothing more.

Demonstrating an actual relationship between money and votes would require campaign contribution records matched to each member of the roll call. That is a different dataset and is not yet built here.

Senate LDA filings, search disclosures by filer and issue

Sources and data freshness

Concentration basisTreasury; CBO revised baselines unverified
LobbyingSenate LDA filings, energy and utilities sector published Jan 22, 2025unverified

Published within the last year. Figures marked unverified are seed estimates that have not been reconciled line-by-line against the primary source document. See the methodology for how each score is constructed.